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Millyville 2016 Mock Draft

 
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Millyville Mock Draft 2.0: Pre-Draft

Merry Draftmas - the day has finally come. This draft should be a wild one, with a lot of shakers and movers anticipated early and often. The Rams and Eagles have set the pace and given up a ton to get to the top of the draft - will the picks play out as everyone has anticipated? 

Let's find out. 

1.       LOS ANGELES RAMS SELECT: JARED GOFF, QB – CAL

Seems like almost a foregone conclusion at this point. Goff has the arsenal of throws, went against better competition, and is a Cali boy to boot. Rams need to make splash in their first year in LA – if Goff works out, the king’s ransom they gave away to get him will be worth it. If not, they’ll be one of the more crippled franchises of the next few years.

2.       PHILADELPHIA EAGLES SELECT: CARSON WENTZ, QB – NORTH DAKOTA STATE

Something smells fishy here… they were said to have been enamored at the prospect of getting Zeke where they originally were. My questions are: a. did they suspect he may not fall that far and specifically wanted to beat out Dallas? And b. is Carson Wentz really worth the capital they gave up to draft him? Something tells me he’s not, and the signing of Chase Daniels with Bradford still on the roster seems to me like it shouldn’t be as desperate of a position to move up so aggressively. That said, with Bradford requesting out, the pick has to be Wentz, but I won’t bat an eyelash if they shock the world and go Zeke.

3.       SAN DIEGO CHARGERS SELECT: LAREMY TUNSIL, OT – OLE MISS

Here’s where the pace of the next 6 picks is set, and it could go in so many directions. Ronnie Stanley has been linked to them a lot, and Ramsey would make a whole hell of a lot of sense with Eric Wettle’s departure. Still… Tunsil could very well be the best prospect in this draft, and though he’s not an immediate need given the assets already locked up on the line, they’ll make it work – you can’t pass up this kind of talent in this position. Protect Rivers, help develop last year’s investment in Melvin Gordon, and solidify what was one of if not the worst lines in football last year.

4.       DALLAS COWBOYS SELECT: JALEN RAMSEY, CB/S – FLORIDA STATE

Another Zeke candidate, but I just can’t fathom them being so brash considering the recent acquisition of Alfred Morris. Ramsey could have very well gone #1 overall had Tennessee stayed put, and I don’t expect him to fall much further than that. Bosa is in play here, but locking up a game changing safety I feel is their priority here given their secondary woes the last few years.

5.       JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS SELECT: JOEY BOSA, DE – OHIO STATE

The Jaguars, in my opinion, are less than 2 seasons away from being a force in the AFC south. In drafting Bosa and getting Fowler back this year after a season ending injury last year, the Jags take a huge step forward in becoming a sneakily up and coming defense in the league. Vernon Hargreaves is another guy in play here – their secondary could use some work. But Bosa is a force, and is one of the safer prospects in the top 10. This is a “don’t overthink it” pick.

6.       BALTIMORE RAVENS SELECT: DEFOREST BUCKNER, DE – OREGON

Perhaps the biggest beneficiary of the aggressive moves at the top, Baltimore takes their not so often position in the top 10 and capitalizes on a tantalizing prospect in Buckner. They have holes everywhere, but this is a no brainer upgrade for a defense that has not been the same since the Joe Flacco signing.

7.       SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS SELECT: RONNIE STANLEY, OT – NOTRE DAME

Let’s make one thing clear – Chip is the coach now, not the GM. With Baalke calling the shots, this pick could go any number of directions. For me, solidifying this offensive line will be their first step in rebuilding a stagnant offense, but it’s not as if the defense could use some love either. I’m pretty positive WR is not in play, nor is QB – it comes down to a playmaking linebacker (Jack, Floyd) or an investment on the line. I think the niners go with the latter.

8.       CLEVELAND BROWNS SELECT: VERNON HARGREAVES, CB – FLORIDA

Zeke is tempting, but Duke Johnson shouldn’t have the opportunity taken away after just one season. The Browns are locked and loaded in this draft, and the value in the RB position can be had much later where they’ve fattened their wallet with picks. Joe Haden may or may not be the answer, but pairing him with a talent like Hargreaves only makes his job easier and takes the pressure off a bit in a division with some absolutely elite receiving talent.

9.       TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS SELECT: MYLES JACK, LB – UCLA

All signs point to this not being the pick, so… I’m going with it. Jack may not even make it this far, but where there’s smoke, there’s fire: teams are reportedly removing him from their boards because of the latest knee update. Whether you view that as a smoke screen or a wild fire is up to you – Jack is an elite talent, and the risk/reward is perfect in this slot. Knee be damned, the guy can play.

10.   NEW YORK GIANTS SELECT: JACK CONKLIN, OT – MICHIGAN STATE

Man oh man, what guy slides out of the top 10 and into the Giants lap? Could be anyone, but if not, an investment on the line makes a whole lot of sense given the defensive acquisitions thus far in the offseason. The Giants I think will be a little too hesitant on taking Zeke here IMO, given their recent bad luck (David Wilson) and at least capable backs still on the roster (Brown, Jennings, Darkwa, Vareen). Leonard Floyd comes to mind, and if the Bucs wind up taking him I think the Giants may very well take Myles Jack even though they’ve recently said they have no intention. But OL makes sense here, so I’m going with it.

11.   CHICAGO BEARS SELECT: EZEKIEL ELLIOT, RB – OSU

With Forte gone, there are some ? marks at this position. Sure, Langford may have shown some talent, but finished with a paltry YPC. Besides that, Ka’deem Carey is the only competition. This solidifies the RB position and gets the Chitown offense back on the map with Alshon back and last year’s 1st round investment Kevin White making his debut.

12.   NEW ORLEANS SAINTS SELECT: LEONARD FLOYD, LB – GEORGIA

Throw a dart New Orleans – just let it hit on a defensive player. They need help in so many places on this side of the ball, and if Hargreaves is still available it would make sense too.

13.   MIAMI DOLPHINS SELECT: ELI APPLE, CB – OHIO STATE

Corner should be the priority here, and Hargreaves is a candidate should he still be sliding. If Zeke falls, I doubt they can pass either. Miami has been rumored to want to trade up, but I find that proposition hard to believe considering they were already there. Apple should be here, and I expect them to take him.

14.   OAKLAND RAIDERS SELECT: SHAQ LAWSON, DE – CLEMSON

Another team on the rise, the Raiders want to find some pressure on the defensive side of the ball to make the next step in a division now up for grabs. Should one of the previous 3 OT’s slide, I think they take whoever comes to them and invest in Derek Carr. Taylor Decker could also find his way to Oakland, too.

15.   TENNESSEE TITANS SELECT: TAYLOR DECKER, OL – OHIO STATE

Tennessee must get some pillars on this line for Mariota if he’s ever going to finish out a season unscathed – he was hit far too often last year. The defense is another direction to go, but with the recent acquisition of Demarco Murray and a need to keep Mariota upright, the Titans should plan on continuing to build around their offense.

16.   DETROIT LIONS SELECT: JARRAN REED, DT - ALABAMA

Detroit goes back to the trenches after losing Fairley and Suh last year. Ngata isn’t getting any younger, and if their other playmakers are going to get loose, Reed should help that happen – he’s a black hole that gobbles up the run and will help open up other areas of the defense to get the pressure on.

17.   ATLANTA FALCONS SELECT: DARRON LEE, LB – OSU

Atlanta needs some playmaking on the defensive side of the ball, and Darron Lee brings that to the table. I’ve seen a variety of positions mocked here, including WR and OL, but getting the speedy Lee instantly makes this defense better, and it was already sneakily on the upswing last year.

18.   INDIANAPOLIS COLTS SELECT: RYAN KELLY, C – ALABAMA

Surprise! Kelly is bar none the best Center available in this draft, and I think he’ll be drafted easily in the first round after months of sitting in 2nd rd. obscurity.

19.   BUFFALO BILLS SELECT: SHELDON RANKINS, DT – LOUISVILLE

It’s tempting to slot Reggie Ragland here, but I feel Rankins is the safer bet. The Bills have a whirlwind of rumors floating around, of which includes QB with Paxton Lynch and have even been linked to (gulp) Christian Hackenberg.

20.   NEW YORK JETS SELECT: REGGIE RAGLAND, LB – ALABAMA

Will the Jets fold their hand with Ryan Fitzpatrick and go QB? Do they snag Treadwell or Docston? Does Zeke fall this far? No, no, and no. Ragland is a force, and will slide in nicely onto a Jets team that needs to plug some holes and invest in some aging positions.

21.   WASHINGTON REDSKINS SELECT: A’SHAWN ROBINSON, DT - ALABAMA

Another ‘Bama boy off the board. Washington lost some pretty big pieces on the line this offseason and it needs to be addressed with the plethora of first rd. defensive talent.

22.   HOUSTON TEXANS SELECT: KARL JOSEPH, S – WEST VIRGINIA

This guy was a bona fide 1st round guy before the knee injury, and all things are pointing in the right direction. It’s easy to mock a WR here and if someone like Will Fuller gets the call, so be it. I’m going against the grain a little bit and giving them a guy who fills an immediate need and keeps their defense clicking. Safety is a lot thinner than WR in this draft, and I think they address it shortly thereafter.

23.   MINNESOTA VIKINGS SELECT: LAQUON TREADWELL, WR – OLE MISS

I want so badly to give them something else because I think the WR to Minn. has been overplayed, but the only other pick that would make sense to me would be on the OL. Jason Spriggs comes to mind, and I think they’d have a tough time passing on any of the other DLs should they fall. In the meantime, they give Teddy a big body to target and pair with their gem finding in Stephon Diggs.

24.   CINCINNATI BENGALS SELECT: JOSH DOCTSON, WR – TCU

This one’s a little easier for me – they have virtually no help for AJ anymore after losing Jones and Sanu to the free agency beast. Though a little older, Doctson gives Dalton another playmaker who can go up and get the ball and will punish secondaries that choose to double AJ on the outside. Sterling Shepherd and Corey Coleman are other possibilities here, but Docston is the complete package.

25.   PITTSBURGH STEELERS SELECT: WILLIAM JACKSON III, CB – HOUSTON

Another selection that could go a number of ways here… someone will slide to them that they might not be able to pass up on (Andrew Billings, Vernon Butler, Chris Jones?). But corner just absolutely must be addressed, and going against the grain is my direction here after not having seen a CB selected to Pittsburgh since the 90’s.

26.   SEATTLE SEAHAWKS SELECT: CODY WHITEHAIR, OT – KANSAS STATE

OL seems almost TOO logical, and Andrew Billings is incredibly tempting to slot here. But Whitehair is a good value for the Seahawks, who need to make sure Russell Wilson doesn’t continue to take a pounding.

27.   GREEN BAY PACKERS SELECT: ANDREW BILLINGS, DT - BAYLOR

I’m sure the Packers would love to trade out of this spot, but for the purpose of this exercise and the lack of top shelf linebackers still on the board, the Packers get some help on the line in the wake of Raji’s sudden departure.

28.   KANSAS CITY CHIEFS SELECT: MACKENSIE ALEXANDER, CB – CLEMSON

I’m sure the Chiefs would love to snag some OL help or even a playmaking WR, but Alex Smith limits that aspect a bit. Alexander is a nice fit here and complements the stud across the way in last year’s selection Marcus Peters. Vernon Butler is also a nice pick here too should he fall.

29.   ARIZONA CARDINALS SELECT: VERNON BUTLER, LOUISIANA TECH

Fits a need, elevates the line. Butler could easily be taken a few spots ahead here, but it’s a great landing spot for one of the higher upside guys in this draft.

30.   CAROLINA PANTHERS SELECT: ARTIE BURNS, CB – MIAMI

The sudden loss of Josh Norman should make this pick a little easier, even given some of the talent still on the board on the DL. Burns has been a late riser, though I haven’t seen him mocked in the first round to date. That said, he would address an immediate need and has solidified himself as an acceptable pick after a great combine. He wouldn’t make it to them in the second, regardless.

31.   DENVER BRONCOS SELECT: KEVIN DODD, DL – CLEMSON

Nope, won’t do it – must keep Lynch out of the first round so that the Browns can take him and mess up RG3’s ego once more. Dodd is a great value here and will be fully unleashed under Wade Phillips, keeping this Denver defensive unit as one of the best in the business.   

MillyVille 2016 Mock Draft 1.0:  Post-Combine

Mock draft version #1 notes and mock draft below. Feedback welcome and encouraged - hit me up!

With the combine behind us, it’s time to really start to dig into how these guys will slot to their respective teams. Some general thoughts:

·         The Miami pick to me is still very much up in the air. I still like Fuller there, but with some of the other corners showing out in the drills, we may see this pick change in the coming weeks. They’re a great candidate to trade out of this spot, too.

·         Though unfortunate, the recent news on Jaylon Smith is certainly starting to raise some flags. I’m comfortable slotting him to the Saints for the time being, but as the draft closes in, he may inevitably start to fall a lot further than originally anticipated if his camp is unable to get around the supposed long-term concerns around his knee.

·         Goff’s baby hands measurements were certainly not encouraging, but he’s still the superior QB to Wentz in my mind. He showcased his arsenal of throws at the combine, and looks to be the first QB off the board.

·         Andrew Billings’ this late in the 1st now starts to feel like his worst case scenario given his dominance at the combine – he looked superb.

·         Robert Nkemdiche passed the eye test during drills, but according to reports he left a few question marks on the table with scouts during his interviews. That said, I’m still confident in him as a top-20 selection – the upside is undeniable.

·         The late OL selections are almost certainly going to fluctuate in the later part of the 1st – it seems teams have a much better variety of options than originally thought.