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The Titans elect the former, keeping 2nd year QB Marcus Mariota off of his back after being sacked 40 times through only 12 games, while elevating a ground game ranked 25th in 2015. The 54 total sacks allowed was a league worst. Tunsil fits the bill, albeit in limited action. Ole Miss averaged 5.1 yards a carry on the ground, and Tunsil only allowed (an absurd) 5 pressures on 225 attempts according to Pro Football Focus. The dude is just an absolute machine against the rush - he's the human personification of the word 'neutralize.' If the anchor on a U.S. battleship were a football player, this is the guy - you're not going to be able to move him, and he's got all kinds of counter moves to withstand both speed and power. I've seen people knock him as overrated - I'm telling you, he's not. Always looking for somebody to take out, savvy and intelligent in the moment, and balanced... not to mention generally an upbeat guy. If the Titans really are looking to move out of the top spot as they've been rumored, I don't care who they move back for - Mariota will throw his protein pineapple smoothie against the wall in disgust if he has to watch highlights on Monday morning on what they passed on. The defense could use improving, but it's not every draft a team's in a position to acquire the services of a potential cornerstone tackle. The Titans capitalize on the opportunity, and acquire defensive pieces in later rounds. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454683807801-X9PF1PUEZC68F2DNHMXT/Titans.png 2016 MD (1-10) - #1 OT Laremy Tunsil, Ole Miss This pick comes down to Tunsil or Bosa, i.e. investing in your franchise quarterback, or bolstering a middle of the road defense. The Titans elect the former, keeping 2nd year QB Marcus Mariota off of his back after being sacked 40 times through only 12 games, while elevating a ground game ranked 25th in 2015. The 54 total sacks allowed was a league worst. Tunsil fits the bill, albeit in limited action. Ole Miss averaged 5.1 yards a carry on the ground, and Tunsil only allowed (an absurd) 5 pressures on 225 attempts according to Pro Football Focus. The dude is just an absolute machine against the rush - he's the human personification of the word 'neutralize.' If the anchor on a U.S. battleship were a football player, this is the guy - you're not going to be able to move him, and he's got all kinds of counter moves to withstand both speed and power. I've seen people knock him as overrated - I'm telling you, he's not. Always looking for somebody to take out, savvy and intelligent in the moment, and balanced... not to mention generally an upbeat guy. If the Titans really are looking to move out of the top spot as they've been rumored, I don't care who they move back for - Mariota will throw his protein pineapple smoothie against the wall in disgust if he has to watch highlights on Monday morning on what they passed on. The defense could use improving, but it's not every draft a team's in a position to acquire the services of a potential cornerstone tackle. The Titans capitalize on the opportunity, and acquire defensive pieces in later rounds. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684107198-KYKEHYFIODXT4TBFQP69/browns.png 2016 MD (1-10) - #2 QB Jared Goff, Cal Decisions, decisions. To put butts in seats with Bosa, or to yet again delve back into the Cleveland quarterback pit of despair. However, with the news of Johnny Football and his blond wig on his way out (add an ! to that with the recent allegations from his former girlfriend), I'd venture to say that this pick position-wise, barring a free agent move, is a lock in either the 1st or 2nd round. Goff’s naysayers have a few particular gripes: inflated stats in a QB-friendly system, slender build, lack of ‘under center’ experience, and mobility. And I get that, mostly. But on paper, it’s hard to argue that facets of his body of work can’t translate into today’s pass-obsessed NFL, especially under new Head Coach Hue Jackson. Goff’s 43 touchdowns ranked 3rd in all of FBS this last season. But what stands out more to me are the interceptions: 12 interceptions on 529 attempts (and 5 of those were in one single game against Utah, ranked #5 at the time). The guy simply does not make many mistakes with the football. For the sake of comparison, and I say this knowing full well how different quarterbacks they are currently, let’s put some stats into perspective from a similar style quarterback against similar conference competition at the same school: Jared Goff, 2015. 6’4, 210 lbs 4714 Pass Yds – 529 attempts @ 65% completion - 43 TDs - 13 INTs Aaron Rodgers, 2004. 6’2, 225 lbs 2566 Pass Yds – 316 attempts @ 66% completion - 24 TDs - 8 INTs To be clear: Aaron Rodgers > Jared Goff… let’s not get carried away. But point being: some of the knocks on Goff coming into the NFL were shared by scouts on Rodgers. Limited build, “athleticism”, gets sacked too often, system QB… all prospects have their drawbacks. But if I’m in the position to draft that kind of upside under a coach who was able to elevate all aspects of Andy Dalton's game after his rookie year, I’m taking this pick every time, especially over a D2 prospect who missed half a year currently riding out an unstoppable hype train. The passing drills at the combine reaffirmed this: Goff has the arsenal of throws and concentration to be successful at the next level. Whether or not he can do it on day one (something Rodgers did not have to do) will remain to be seen. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684119614-FE3NNYMFYTG23QK3OBEJ/sd.png 2016 MD (1-10) - #3 CB/S Jalen Ramsey, Florida State With the impending departure of Eric Weddle, Jalen Ramsey's more natural skill set slides perfectly to the #3 spot in San Diego. I've watched a lot of tape of this dude, and am not highly confident that a team drafting him with intentions of slotting him outside would be the ideal fit. He's long, a monster athlete, but not necessarily the best 'cover' guy this class has to offer. I'm much more impressed with his versatility manning the safety position in his 2014 tape than the touch-and-go nature that was his CB conversion in 2015. To me, this is the perfect scenario for San Diego. WR is potentially in play here, and the O-Line is certainly a concern - if the cards fall their way, I could certainly see Tunsil being the pick. But luck factors in here - the Chargers were absolutely decimated, and by all means were on the verge of pulling people out of the crowd (or lack thereof) to plug the gaps. There's no doubt they'll address this later, but I just do not envision them passing on a guy of Ramsey's caliber to fill the glaring void Weddle will leave. Regardless of where they choose to play him, it's the flexibility of this pick that will make it an easy one.     https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684210341-YLZ44BUV2TEFRZ7FDTB1/cowboys.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #4 DE Joey Bosa, Ohio State Arguably the best edge rusher in the draft falls to the 'boys in the 4 slot. Treadwell may be in play depending on how frisky JJ is feeling on draft day, and I'm also a pretty firm believer that QB is not a position they'll be taking Rd. 1. Though I'm not necessarily sold on Bosa across the board, his lackluster box scores don't really tell the whole story - the dude was consistently schemed against. On tape, the intangibles were still there: quickness off the line, good use of hands, solid against the run... he just had to do it against more guys than his stellar 2014 season. One might argue that the more pressing need on the defensive side of the ball would be the secondary, and that Ramsey makes more sense here should he slide. I'm not so sure that's the immediate need, however. On paper, the pass defense did at the very least a respectable job. What the drafting of Bosa brings to the table, in this man's opinion, will inherently improve the secondary. He instantly makes this Cowboys defense more formidable, and would provide a nice complimentary 'power' game to Randy Gregory (EDIT: after his 4 game suspension), and with a healthy Sean Lee (and possibly Greg Hardy?) we could see some drastic improvements on this side of the ball across the board. Pressuring the QB --> takeaways in the secondary: Bosa fits here and will almost assuredly take some of the pressure off of the backfield. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684214623-F273CL5PZYF0RF0UUYBP/jags.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #5 CB Vernon Hargreaves III, Florida The Jags land the best cover corner in the draft, and it will be a welcome addition after giving up just under 4,200 yards through the air. Pass rusher could be in play, but with a healthy Dante Fowler making his debut, the area of concern should focus primarily on the secondary for the time being, a unit that managed only 9 interceptions in 2015, and league worst 6 the year prior. And it's not like there's zero to build upon here - Davon House got assaulted by some of the league's premier wideouts, but otherwise held his own for the most part. Allowing a pure cover corner in Hargreaves instantly upgrades the secondary and gives their corners a solid 1-2 punch while allowing CBs (still retained) McCray and Gratz to develop to be a bit more complementary. Overall, the jury is a bit hung on Hargreaves, but if there's one thing for sure, it's not because of his speed... this kid is quick. He's aggressive, sometimes to a fault, but has great anticipation. His 40 time was nothing to write home about, but his agility/footwork in drills should take care of that. My main concern with him is size - he'll give you the effort but can get gobbled up on runs to his side. To that degree, he reminds me a bit of last year's trendy cover corner pick in Trae Waynes - savvy in cover, occasionally a liability elsewhere. But for a Jacksonville team on the verge of breaking through in their division, this pick is the one that makes them the most competitive week 1. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684229136-JXG3FAHF564NKY4N0CBH/ravens.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #6 DE DeForest Buckner, Oregon Welcome back to the top 10, Baltimore - it's been a while (year 2000 to be exact). There are a variety of needs for Baltimore, and O-line very well could be in play. I'm not buying the WR buzz though after taking Perriman rd. 1 last year. And if Ramsey slides, I think Ozzie sprints to Goodell with their pick - they could really use a play-making safety in a division with some great open field runners and talents the likes of Antonio Brown, AJ Green, and soon to be reinstated Josh Gordon One of the things that stood out through the NFL playoffs this year was how quickly the momentum of the game can shift with a single, back breaking QB sack. Time after time, edge rushers made their impact felt, and single handedly swung the pendulum back in the other direction with a drive ending stop or disrupted throw. The Ravens haven't had that kind of presence on the field for a couple years now... long gone is that intimidating defensive unit that fans were more confident about being on the field than the actual offense. Their pieces have grown older or become unaffordable after the Flacco mega-deal, and slowly they've become a rather unintimidating foe in the AFC North. Buckner is an instant fix - the 6'7 mega athlete would inject a presence into the line that's been missing. No, it's not their greatest need, and like I said, Ozzie would be licking his lips should Ramsey fall his way. They've got guys who are just beginning to make an impact on the line, though it seems likely Chris Canty is not long for this world in a Ravens uniform. So call it what you will... value play, best player available, luxury pick - whatever. Buckner is the best player on the board and almost certainly won't get past San Fran. The injuries incurred to the line over the course of the season are enough to justify this pick alone. Ravens fans will be the first to tell you - taking a step in the right direction will be impossible unless the CB position is addressed at some point. Unfortunately, their cap situation is still a bit perilous, and a combination of a 2nd round CB and possibly a reasonable FA signing will be needed. But in taking Buckner, rest assured it's a position taken care of for the next few drafts. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684232431-GRSFJBR3ZDVGQQ80MMUT/49ers.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #7 OT Ronnie Staley, Notre Dame Something's telling me that somewhere deep inside Chip Kelly's NFL 'lessons learned' diary is written "Note to self: do not draft a bunch of rookie WRs and hope they play like veterans." Treadwell has been an increasingly popular pick here - it's not happening. Torrey Smith, though overpaid, is still relatively young and has lots of tread. Anquan Boldin, though old and possibly gone, isn't dead. Deandre Smelther oozes with potential. Quinton Patton has flashed. 6 foot 3 recently signed CFL star Eric Rodgers could even potentially make an impact. There are experienced free agents to be had. And let's be honest... Colin Kaepernick isn't exactly a guy who'll bring out the best in your WR core. Though they could approach from the defensive angle, Ronnie Staley just makes more sense here. A solid athlete, Stanley has the quicks to keep up with opposing speed and does a great job of keeping the pass rusher in check. He's a great down field blocker as well, and would definitely be a welcome addition for Carlos Hyde. And though he's signed through 2019, Joe Staley will be 32 at opening kick. A lot of this pick may depend on the rumors of Anthony Davis, who abruptly retired last year at the age of 25 but is supposedly interested in returning. If that's the case, I'm looking for San Fran to go defense. Until then, Ronnie Staley helps address the most glaring issue should Chip decide to stick with Kaep or Gabbert: the whopping 53 sacks accounted for last year, 2nd highest behind Tennessee.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684238195-WC7M7LAHX6LB8CRPUK6A/15041052013.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #8 CB Kendall Fuller, Virginia Tech This probably won't be a popular pick until Fuller starts to restore his value post-combine and demonstrates that he's overcome the lasting effects of an injury that caused him to miss the majority of the 2015 season. It's very tempting to slot Myles Jack here, as well. To gauge the true value of Fuller, you can't simply watch the replay of Michael Thomas disintegrating him on the stop-and-go route at the start of this season. Yes, he bit hard... very hard. But for the majority of the game, Fuller showed why he's an elite prospect at the position. This is an incredibly tough position for the Dolphins to be in - Hargreaves, Stanley, Tunsil, and Ramsey would all be in play here. But the most glaring need is addressed in Fuller, something that needs to be addressed sooner than later with Brent Grimes approaching 33. Mackensie Alexander is not an ideal selection this high in the draft and some other CBs certainly upped their stock at the combine, but I can confidently say that Fuller will be well worth the price of admission should they go this route. Obviously the pedigree is there, as both of his brothers are on NFL rosters. The former 5-star recruit was ranked 9th in the class of 2013, second in position only to fellow top-10 pick Vernon Hargreaves. He's got that ideal blend of physicality and speed his brother had coming out of Virginia Tech. He's very fluid and has shown he can handle the savvy router runners and the big bodied receivers. He does well in both zone and man coverage, has great hands and has no problems making a tackle. The main flaw I see when watching Fuller is his instincts when the ball's in the air - he doesn't always seem to be able to get his head around and tries to smother the receiver without looking if he's beat, particularly on the outside. He'll get better at this with coaching, but it's definitely one of the things training camp and preseason will need to address in order to be a day-1 starter. I'm more high on Fuller than most - his injuries have really put an unfortunate dent in his stock. But he's more well rounded than some of the DBs that will go later, and I think he'll wind up returning top-10 value wherever he winds up.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684249611-GKVCINI5OT18HDMRJWI2/17636702014.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #9 DE Noah Spence, Eastern Kentucky As usual, there is no lack of drug-related drama around this year's draft for many top prospects. Spence is no exception - he was suspended from Ohio State after a positive test for ecstacy, and subsequently banned indefinitely after he was popped for another. Since then, it seems to have been smooth sailing with his rapid ascension up draft boards. Spence transferred to Eastern Kentucky in 2015 and never looked back. 63 tackles and 12 sacks later, we're talking potentially a top 10 pick for a guy who, for all intents and purposes, was not even on the 1st rd. radar to start the year. But failed drug tests aren't the end-all for evaluators, and Bucs fans are all too familiar. After a positive marijuana test AT THE COMBINE, Tampa Bay used their 12th pick in the 1995 draft to cash in on the falling stock of 7-time Pro Bowler Warren Sapp. There's no way around it: Spence is a devastating pass rusher with great agility and a V-12 engine. He was no slouch at Ohio State either, piling up 8 sacks his sophomore year. And if it says anything about the perseverance of this guy, it's comforting to know that the new-found opportunity at Eastern Kentucky, personally sought out for him by Urban Meyer, was not a wasted one - he's ready to rock at the pro level. Scouts will do their homework, but it sounds like he's done a great job of cleaning things up. The off-the-field concerns are just that: concerns. If they're not as glaring as they once were, I expect Tampa Bay to make this pick and set Spence up for success. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684254967-IA2CL3UG2GSN30ZNJZXT/919.gif 2016 MD (1-10) - #10 LB Myles Jack, UCLA The Giants are in the perfect position here - teams ravenously starved for defensive backs have shifted the market a bit, and will leave the Giants in a win-win scenario with whoever's on the board. But from a pure NYG need perspective, I don't care what you have to say unless it starts with an 'L' and ends with 'inebacker.' DE would make sense, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a run-stuffer like Reed or a rusher like Buckner slotted here should he fall. But you just don't pass on a talent like Jack - he's the full package and will help bolster, dare I say it... probably the worst defense in NYG history, after getting almost 300 pass yards dropped on them a game, good for dead last. Sidenote: for any GMen fan willing to figure this out for me, I started going back to see when the last time they had a year as low as 23 sacks and it just kept going and going. It's a bit difficult to project where Jack and Jaylon Smith may fall considering their injuries this year. What sets them apart will be Jack's ability to actually participate in some facts of the combine, which should re-solidfy his status as a blue-chip prospect. Check out some tape of him on Draft Breakdown... he's a lot of fun to watch. He's got a unique blend of size and speed, and a general presence that makes him virtually impossible not to notice amongst the other players. His instincts are off the charts and he diagnoses plays lightning-fast. He's fairly good against the run, though I doubt OC's will be afraid to run at him at his current weight. Where his game really takes flight is in coverage - pound for pound, Jack will match up with any of the best athletes in the NFL. Assuming the departure of JPP is imminent, the Giants have the dough to throw at some of the free agent puzzle pieces to rebuild this dumpster fire. When the dust settles, Jack will be the centerpiece of a resurgent NYG defense.   http://www.millyville.com/2016-mock-draft-1115 daily 0.75 2016-03-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684292204-VCUTMTVK1AGBAJJ0QBKK/364.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #11 DE Robert Nkemdiche, Ole Miss Surprised? You shouldn't be. Before puff-puff-passing himself out of a fourth floor window, Nkemdiche was consistently being mocked as a top-3 overall selection in the draft. Though his stock isn't currently as 'high' as fellow Rebel Leremy Tunsil's, this incident has seen him 'fall' to the later part of the first and occasionally even the second in some projections. The former 5-star recruit has all the tools to be an every down threat. It's incredibly hard to find the level of athleticism he posses at 6'4, 296. If you need proof, check out his tape against Alabama and see for yourself. 10x more so than Tunsil, the term 'overrated' gets thrown around his name a lot, but I expect the combine to re-energize Nkemdiche defectors - he's absolutely a unique talent, and it shows on tape. From a stock perspective, Nkemdiche is the Chipotle of the marketplace. Before their little E. coli scare, they were trading at an absurd $750 a pop on the Nasdaq before the floor fell out down to about $400. Sure, you're a little gun-shy, but deep down, on an instinctive human level, you know first hand just how good it really is. I'll give it to you: his particular off the field stuff is concerning, and the window incident isn't his first rodeo. But if he can prove to scouts pre-draft that his mischievous days are behind him, it would come as no surprise to me if the Bears wind up taking a shot on a guy who could return top-3 value. If there's anyone who will ultimately benefit from all the aspects of pre-draft evaluation, i.e. interviews, combine, physicals and such, this is that guy. That said, if he stumbles and Randy Gregorys his way into the draft, who knows just how far his stock will drop. But someone will take a chance, just like I did by eating Chipotle a week after the E. coli was reported. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684292204-VCUTMTVK1AGBAJJ0QBKK/364.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #11 DE Robert Nkemdiche, Ole Miss Surprised? You shouldn't be. Before puff-puff-passing himself out of a fourth floor window, Nkemdiche was consistently being mocked as a top-3 overall selection in the draft. Though his stock isn't currently as 'high' as fellow Rebel Leremy Tunsil's, this incident has seen him 'fall' to the later part of the first and occasionally even the second in some projections. The former 5-star recruit has all the tools to be an every down threat. It's incredibly hard to find the level of athleticism he posses at 6'4, 296. If you need proof, check out his tape against Alabama and see for yourself. 10x more so than Tunsil, the term 'overrated' gets thrown around his name a lot, but I expect the combine to re-energize Nkemdiche defectors - he's absolutely a unique talent, and it shows on tape. From a stock perspective, Nkemdiche is the Chipotle of the marketplace. Before their little E. coli scare, they were trading at an absurd $750 a pop on the Nasdaq before the floor fell out down to about $400. Sure, you're a little gun-shy, but deep down, on an instinctive human level, you know first hand just how good it really is. I'll give it to you: his particular off the field stuff is concerning, and the window incident isn't his first rodeo. But if he can prove to scouts pre-draft that his mischievous days are behind him, it would come as no surprise to me if the Bears wind up taking a shot on a guy who could return top-3 value. If there's anyone who will ultimately benefit from all the aspects of pre-draft evaluation, i.e. interviews, combine, physicals and such, this is that guy. That said, if he stumbles and Randy Gregorys his way into the draft, who knows just how far his stock will drop. But someone will take a chance, just like I did by eating Chipotle a week after the E. coli was reported. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684304123-YH59BKRTZKUCH5YMB9ML/907.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #12 LB Jaylon Smith, Notre Dame Who knows, it's possible Saints fans might be disappointed with the prospect of drafting a guy fresh of an ACL tear in the Fiesta Bowl. I'm here to tell you: you shouldn't be. Smith is arguably the best all-around linebacker in this draft, and sans-injury, would have been drafted even higher. It's 2016 - an ACL isn't the end of the world anymore... but the recent reports are a little concerning. He's still got a couple months to fortify his stock, but his name could start to tumble a bit if he's unable to do so. Nothing flashy here, but more of the model of consistency for this Notre Dame unit. 133 solo tackles with 18 for a loss over the course of his last two seasons with a few sacks thrown in... not too shabby. I'll let head coach Brian Kelly comment on the caliber of player Smith is: "I haven't coached a player like him before, period. He can line up with his hand on the ground. He can cover the inside receiver. He can play in the box. He can tackle in open space. There's not much he can't do." It's not easy to project the Saints here as their needs are everywhere. It's tempting to mock some offensive help, or even someone along the D-line. However, I have a hard time imagining New Orleans, like New York, not making a play for a centerpiece of their defense... and lord knows they could use all the defensive help they can get. Without the injury, it's a no brainer of a pick. As currently stands... a little uncertain. The next version of this mock will reflect that if his stock continues to sour.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684311293-3AZDX52XSVRLI3W93Y0W/960.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #13 QB Carson Wentz, North Dakota State Call me crazy... but was his Senior Bowl performance REALLY so great we can call this guy a future NFL signal caller? I'm just not on board with Wentz as a top 10 pick... I'm actually not really on board with him at all. He's much more of a project to me than people seem to be giving him credit for. Sure, he's got a cannon and great mobility. He's big, and if he's the second coming of Cam Newton, so be it... I just don't see it yet. He took the reigns at North Dakota State in 2014, and came out firing. His 2015 campaign through 6 games looked like it had the making to be a great one, before he broke his wrist in October and missed the remainder of the regular season. What we do know: in limited action plus his bowl game, he threw for over 1,600 yards, 17 TDs to 4 INTs, at a clip of 63%. Almost 300 yards at a clip of 4.7 YPC on the ground and 6 TDs, and you have your icing for your Wetnz cake. However, these numbers aren't anything to shake a fist at either: 2793 Pass Yds - 66% completion - 34 TD - 7 INT 479 Rush Yds - 4.8 YPC - 10 TDs Pretty solid... for a guy currently playing in the CFL. Brock Jensen, Senior QB for North Dakota State in 2013, put up pretty respectable stats too, in an offense designed for it. Are they the same QB? No - not what I'm trying to suggest; even a couple minutes watching tape of either and you can see the differences. Were they both part of a great system against D2 compeition? Absolutely. Philly will be looking QB, no doubt, and Lynch/Cook will be in play as well. Given some of the free agent mystery, this pick is obviously subject to change. Right now, Wentz makes sense , but I have serious doubts of him being able to step in as a day-1 starter. We'll see what the free agency tide brings in. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684317077-M59F0UOF0BRLEAUIZG6E/g9mgk6x3ge26t44cccm9oq1vl.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #14 OT Jack Conklin, Michigan State Tough, tough, tough spot for the Raiders here... still plenty of D talent on the board, but with Derek Carr's breakout campaign in the books, I think the best angle here will be to build around him and the run game. Just how good was Carr? Only the second best start to a career through two season in the TD column behind Dan Marino. Jeepers... I wonder how often the average Cleveland fan thinks about taking Johnny 14 picks earlier. It will be tempting not to take a CB here, for sure... but with some of the later options, I just can't fathom Reggie Mackenzie pulling the trigger on Mackensie Alexander or Eli Apple, even with Apple's solid showing at the combine. These can be addressed elsewhere, either later in the draft or through free agency. No need to gamble here. Though not as shifty as some of the other OLs in this range, Conklin brings a grit and work ethic to Oakland that will be a breath of fresh air. Sure, the line held up, but didn't hold together when injuries started to play a role. Fortifying Carr's blindside with a younger, tenacious talent like Conklin will set the pass game up for even more success and give Latavius some more room to run. He's the toughest OL in this draft range, never quits on plays, and is superior against the blitz. For some great looks, check out his tape against Ohio State - 110% effort all around. Yea, it's not a sexy pick, but he performed a lot better at the combine than anticipated with above average numbers in all categories. To acquire a guy with his instincts, physicality, and day-1 readiness, I think Oakland is poised to snag the torch out of the NFC West and hold onto it with a little bolstering of their secondary. In the meantime, Conklin is a puzzle piece that just fits - plain and simple.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455750281347-GJFLGKTSW6MM4M1RPYEH/594153172016.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #15 WR Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss All of the hype right now around Treadwell is his speed - try to find any sort of analysis on him that doesn't incorporate phrases like "lacks explosiveness" or "less dynamic version of Dez Bryant" or "can't separate" or "doesn't take the top off a defense." Whatever... when did everybody become such experts at gauging a guy's 40 time by just looking at him on the field? Because what I saw was a guy who lead the SEC in receiving while hauling in 11 touchdowns against the best college DBs in the country. Oh, and less than a year removed from one of the more horrifying injuries of the 2014 season to that thing he uses to run... his leg. Though he didn't run the 40, I don't think it really hurt his stock as much as people are saying, but it certainly doesn't help. His other drills were as advertised - smooth running and crisp hands. However, the proof is in the pudding: Allen Robinson, Anquan Boldin, Jarvis Landry, Deandre Hopkins, Brandon Marshall, Mike Evans, AJ Green, Larry Fitzgerald, Dez Bryant and Jordy Nelson... all active Pro Bowl wide receivers that ran 4.5 or higher in the 40. Treadwell is not a sub 4.4 burner - let's stop scouting him like it. He's got spectacular hands and concentration, attacks the ball and tracks it as well as any WR in this draft. If he can't beat Tavon Austin in a foot race, I'm not sure I care. If I'm a Rams fan, I'm psyched at this pick. I don't care who was behind the line last year... you're not going to get it done with a disappointing Brian Quick, fading Kenny Britt, and don't even get me started on Jared Cook - good god. Tavon Austin: he's a sensational talent, but not a WR1 in any realm. The Rams finished dead last in pass yards and touchdowns - is anyone actually surprised by this? Nick Foles may not be Aaron Rodgers, but let's cut the guy some slack - he played the hand he was dealt and he certainly wasn't dealt much. System or not: he came over from Philly averaging 270 yards a game. Does Foles suck, or is the Ram's receiving corps that bad? Maybe both, but less of the former and more of the latter. What I'd be more excited about? The prospect of the best blocking WR in the draft wreaking havoc on the outside for Todd Gurley - THAT alone should really give this offense a dimension it can't possibly see with Tavon getting tossed around like a rag doll on runs. The QB situation is in flux, but I think even a serviceable one could make due with a core of Tavon, Treadwell, Gurley, ideally a FA WR and a new TE (Cooks has been released). Then again... Jeff Fisher - enough said. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455827843517-20NKPMZ0Q40ICTRP04Z0/cwuyv0w15ruuk34j9qnfuoif9.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #16 DE Emmanuel Ogbah, Oklahoma State Honestly, I'm not completely sold on this Calvin Johnson retirement rhetoric - I think he comes back for one more year... and although it's easy to play the "it's not about the money for everyone" card, I just find it a little hard to swallow that anyone would leave 24 million on the table, i.e. almost $10 million more than the next guy, Julio Jones. That's a lot of dough to not lace up for. That said, especially with Treadwell off the board, I don't think WR is in play - Doctson, Coleman, Thomas etc. would all be reaches here, and comparable value will be available in the later rounds. Taylor Decker would be a guy to watch in this slot, but Ogbah gives Detroit an absolutely formidable line. He's very fun to watch, a tenacious dude that would give Detroit a frightening look for QBs with him and Ezekiel Ansah coming in hot (along with the best line name pairing - Ogbah and Ansah). Another raw guy, but his upside is there. His combine numbers reaffirmed this: top 3 in the 40, broad, and vert. He can hit up both sides of the line, and racked up 17 tackles for a loss and 12.5 sacks this year. He finishes his Cowboy career with 28 sacks. He was CONSTANTLY in a position to make the quarterback throw earlier than he should. He'll need to work on his moves a bit, but he'll be learning from some of the best. People will knock his first move that sometimes looks a bit delayed, but experience will do a world of good for a guy still learning the position, and the flexibility to move him around should make him that much more enticing for Detroit. This pick will no doubt get some flack - with Decker still on the board and those ever-enticing CBs, there's obviously an opportunity to address a more pressing need. And though I wouldn't be surprised to see them go either direction, I think it more speaks to the caliber of talent at the front of this draft - a few of these guys would be going top-10 last year.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684366905-VKKWGC2UTOZ0HNIPQ8W4/299.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #17 LB Leonard Floyd, Georgia The NFL conditioning programs (and ideally a few buffet trips) will do Floyd a lot of good - he looks like more of a receiving tight end playing the linebacker position when trying to set the edge at 6'4 225. But it's hard not to see a quintessential NFL pass rusher in Floyd when watching him on film, and his combine numbers are going to really stand out. From a pure athleticism standpoint, he's a 1st round grade all day. What I see: at times a guy who looks borderline unstoppable, and at others a guy operating at 60%. Injuries certainly played a role over the course of his tenure, but there was no lack of quarterback disruption while he was on the field. The Falcons would probably deploy Floyd as an outside LB, which is exactly what he brings to the table after making some all-around improvements in coverage and run defense throughout his 2015 season. With the upside he brings to the table, I have no problem slotting him to Atlanta and letting him develop into a great all-around defender. He may struggle with the run at times and the physicality of NFL lineman early on, but seems to have all the tools necessary to give this up-and-coming Atlanta defense some more pop. Long term, I see Floyd developing into a former Falcon John Abraham type as his game continues to improve. I can't state it enough - he needs to put some meat on his bones for the next level, and given that he'll be 24 at the start of the season it's not out of the realm of possibility that what you see is what you get. But you just can't pass on a guy with his first step and speed, and I expect him to really be making strides by his second season.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1454684374009-8E5FA3092BNNPO941QW9/593.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #18 OL Taylor Decker, Ohio State Well... that was not a fun team to watch, was it? The defense looked helpless, Vontae Davis didn't look like the shutdown corner from 2014, and the offensive line was a dumpster fire unlike any other. If Grigson doesn't address the O-line in this draft, god help this fan base. Sure, he found Hilton, but what has he done with his first round picks? Andrew Luck - pat on the back fella, your team only had to tank its entire season to get him. Bjorn Werner - yea, one solo tackle this year. Traded 2014 pick for Trent Richardson... a trade he's quoted as saying he'd "do it again." And most recently Phillip Dorsett, a guy dripping with speed, but completely unnecessary on a team with Moncrief, Hilton, and for as worthless as he turned out to be but couldn't have been anticipated, Andre Johnson. It will be years before we know how Decker vs. Conklin will play out - both are in the same range-ish and have different strengths and weaknesses. If there's one thing I know: both of these dudes are nasty. Unlike Conklin, Decker was a 4-star recruit for Ohio State ranked 23rd at his position in his class. He reminds me a bit of Dallas left tackle Tyron Smith - great build, quick feet and they can both mirror their opponents incredibly well. His combine showcased it all - he was quick in the drills and his numbers raised no concerns at all. Consistency is a nice plus, too: he probably would have gone around the similar time in the draft last year, but decided to give it one more go and plow the way for another spectacular season for Elliott and the Buckeyes. Decker's got cornerstone right tackle written all over him, something Indy is in desperate, desperate need of. If they want to prove to Andrew Luck that they care about him being in Indy long term, this is a piece that cannot go neglected. Yes, the defense and ground game is in desperate need of some young blood, but an improved offense will inherently help the defense. I can still see them going 'Zeke here, but for now, I think Grigs goes with the safe play with the best OL on the board. If not, Corey Coleman is also a likely candidate in this slot that would give them a breath of fresh air at WR (just kidding Colts fans). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455748576801-KF7KXWUU9FVQC7WU4TGY/n0fd1z6xmhigb0eej3323ebwq.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #19 DT A'Shawn Robinson, Alabama Full disclosure... I've seen a lot of 'bama this year and watched them all individually, but have had a really difficult time deciphering which of these beasts are the NFL studs and which are replacement level contributors. Watching Robinson, though he's disruptive, it's certainly been helpful for him to have Jarran Reed and Jonathon Allen doing a lot of the dirty work nearby. Nevertheless, Robinson's overall power and athleticism is undeniable (any guy who can rotate in as a fullback on offense probably has some good feet under him). He's an absolute beast of a specimen: 20 years old at 6'4 315 pounds. Though a little raw, he's got octopus arms that allow him to dominate on the edge, great vision that rarely gets fooled, and a monster core that allows him to maintain his attack angle. Where there's a little bit to be desired: against the pass - he sometimes looks a little lost and maybe even gassed at times. That can be addressed, but where he is at his best will be dominating against some run solid units in the AFC East, and will slot very well in Rex Ryan's ever-evolving 3-4 scheme. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455750268732-KQRCKPWVIVN44H9AL8VT/v7tehkwthrwefgounvi7znf5k.gif 2016 MD (11-20) - #20 LB Reggie Ragland, Alabama The line has no lack of talent, but the linebacking core has been a soft spot. Ragland has no lack of experience operating behind a superior line. This is a perfect 'fit' pick for the Jets, as he's already demonstrated (thoroughly) his knack at the inside position, but just to get scout's appetites whetted a bit more he gave the outside a shot at the Senior Bowl. That kind of (potential) versatility should have Todd Bowles drooling over this pick, and gives them that hard nosed missile the Jets need, while also positioning themselves for a smooth transition from 32 year old David Harris (who can still play, mind you). The former 5-star recruit tacked up an absurd 190 tackles over the last two seasons, with 17 for a loss thrown in there - not bad for a guy who had to try to fill CJ Mosley's shoes. The guy is everywhere, and he can certainly back the punch when closing in. He's pretty quick for his size, but he won't be running guys down from behind. Assuming Demario Davis walks, I think this is precisely the pick the Jets will make. Do they have some OL needs? Of course - but really how many teams don't? Ragland is an immediate impact player that will take a bit of the pressure off Harris to let him pin his ears back, and will complement their already solid front line nicely. http://www.millyville.com/2016-mock-draft-2131 daily 0.75 2016-02-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369980-UDMLEPYPI0TFNKGZ2EBN/im5xz2q9bjbg44xep08bf5czq.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #21 DT Andrew Billings, Baylor As I was putting this draft together, I was surprised as things began to play out how far Andrew Billings could conceivably fall - his combine was great, and I wouldn't even blink if he went 10 picks higher. If this situation played itself out for Washington, it would be a rock solid continuation in moving forward in a division where everyone else seems to be going the other way. His combine really helped his stock, Oh let me count the ways I love Andrew Billings... the Big 12 Defensive Lineman of the Year is a 6'0 310 pound bowling ball that can tear into the backfield like I tear into a bag of kettle cooked potato chips. I read somewhere that he set a Texas high school state record for the power lift, totaling at 2,000+ lbs... ma ma. (For those unfamiliar: the combined weight of your bench press, dead lift, and squat.) He engages his blocker with not so much a pop, but an explosion... he really uses his mass to his advantage and resembles something like a planet colliding with/swallowing another one. Consistently double teamed, his arms come up and engage like drills, burrowing in and pressing forward. Every move Billings makes is pronounced and aggressive. What's more... when he's disengaged and in pursuit, watch out - he'll eat you alive. He won't catch a speedster, but you can bet he's probably not far behind. I've seen Billings mocked all over the board, with mentions of concerns of size/weight distribution, rawness, lacking some basic fundamentals... fine! That's just fine. He's going to be 20 years old this year! With that kind of tenacity, power, and to only be that age... man. Whoever Billings lands with will be lucky to have him. Put him on the field, surround him with guys who will teach him the tricks of the trade, and you've got yourself a premium nose tackle that will completely take out plays that come his way (or at the very least demand two guy's attention). Yea if you can't tell, this is one of the prospects I'm really looking forward to seeing at the next level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369980-UDMLEPYPI0TFNKGZ2EBN/im5xz2q9bjbg44xep08bf5czq.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #21 DT Andrew Billings, Baylor As I was putting this draft together, I was surprised as things began to play out how far Andrew Billings could conceivably fall - his combine was great, and I wouldn't even blink if he went 10 picks higher. If this situation played itself out for Washington, it would be a rock solid continuation in moving forward in a division where everyone else seems to be going the other way. His combine really helped his stock, Oh let me count the ways I love Andrew Billings... the Big 12 Defensive Lineman of the Year is a 6'0 310 pound bowling ball that can tear into the backfield like I tear into a bag of kettle cooked potato chips. I read somewhere that he set a Texas high school state record for the power lift, totaling at 2,000+ lbs... ma ma. (For those unfamiliar: the combined weight of your bench press, dead lift, and squat.) He engages his blocker with not so much a pop, but an explosion... he really uses his mass to his advantage and resembles something like a planet colliding with/swallowing another one. Consistently double teamed, his arms come up and engage like drills, burrowing in and pressing forward. Every move Billings makes is pronounced and aggressive. What's more... when he's disengaged and in pursuit, watch out - he'll eat you alive. He won't catch a speedster, but you can bet he's probably not far behind. I've seen Billings mocked all over the board, with mentions of concerns of size/weight distribution, rawness, lacking some basic fundamentals... fine! That's just fine. He's going to be 20 years old this year! With that kind of tenacity, power, and to only be that age... man. Whoever Billings lands with will be lucky to have him. Put him on the field, surround him with guys who will teach him the tricks of the trade, and you've got yourself a premium nose tackle that will completely take out plays that come his way (or at the very least demand two guy's attention). Yea if you can't tell, this is one of the prospects I'm really looking forward to seeing at the next level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369817-OO6FFSHFZLAGRHYF3LBO/570.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #22 RB Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State This is a trendy pick and I'm going with it - the ground game is just simply non-existent with Arian Foster out of the lineup. And out of the lineup he certainly was; for the 2nd time in three seasons, Foster has failed to reach 10 games. Couple that with this being his final season under contract, and you have the perfect pairing of up and youth and wisdom in the Houston backfield for the upcoming season. For starters, this would be a pretty lethal combination behind a relatively stable OL. Arian, when healthy, has been incredibly efficient; he's had a great combination of elusiveness and receiving prowess that's tough to find in a back these days. For every Todd Gurley, there's a Melvin Gordon - not every back will come into the league and make an impact year one. Elliott's already proven he can get it done on the ground and through the air, and is a pretty solid blocker on pass downs. Solid combine showing for the former Buckeye, as well. Let him start out as that 3rd down rotational back, and when the time comes to fill in for Foster (and it will), make sure he's acquired the confidence and hunger to get it done at the next level. He's passionate, competitive, and hands down the best back in this class - set him up for success with a year to simmer and learn from one of the best in the business. Duh, they need a quarterback. But Hoyer's not completely dead and relatively cheap, and hell... I'm even a Tom Savage fan. Their defense keeps them in ball games, but I'm not 100% the remaining QBs on the board are getting the best value here. They'll take one later and free agency is obviously in play, but for the time being, I like slotting them a guy who will be able to take the reigns from Foster next year. Good value at the 22 spot. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369898-WYX5SSL82XHHCO1RUK8M/17227042013.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #23 OG Cody Whitehair, Kansas State I don't know why, but this pick (aside from just general solid fit), just feels like a name fit too. When I think 'Viking,' I think names like Jim Kleinsasser. I look at that horned, blond braided logo with the two foot mustache and think to myself: are there any good Viking names in this range? Have seen WR mocked here quite often, but I think the current corps sans Wallace showed enough to warrant an improvement elsewhere. Darian Thompson from Boise State comes into play here, as well as maybe Cravens from USC. But none of the above addresses two important things: the long term development of Teddy Two Gloves, and the lack of available Viking names at the position. Whitehair the Viking - I'm in. For real though... what you're getting with Whitehair is a guy who could theoretically be played all along the line. He's shown he can hang with the big boys, but I think where he really shines is stalling out speed guys from the outside... he faced some GOOD competition this year, and it just seems time after time some of the more explosive guys at the line were just covered in molasses the moment Whitehair got a hand on them... he's got a great feel for that. Couple that with the fact that he'd almost certainly be groomed as a guard in the NFL, and you've got a prospect who can handle tasks across the line - a great asset. I don't think his overall strength gets highlighted enough in other analysis, maybe because he's not generally the 'biggest' guy out there. I'm in the other camp - he seems very strong, and he works hard on the field and it shows. He gets flagged here and there, but as with most rookies, there's room for improvement. Now I say this knowing full well what it implies but... of the few remaining OL's I think could sneak in the 1st round (Spriggs, Coleman, Ifedi, Hawkins), Whitehair is actually the one I've seen the least. But it's not because I just haven't watched him... it's because what I saw was enough - and here's what solidifed it: At the start of this last season, he did an interview in which he was asked who his toughtest assignment has been in his career. He answered that it was Shawn Coleman, Baylor's 6'9 285 lb monster who could also sneak into the first round of this year's draft, too (for the record, Whitehair stands 6'4). Said Cody: "...it makes it very tough for me who is a little undersized at tackle. He's back for another year and maybe we can play him better." And that's exactly what he did - Whitehair helped shut down Oakman skillfully, and allowed only 3 tackles, zero sacks. There's other film on draft breakdown and you'll see for yourself - there are guys going higher than him, and his combine did not help him: 16 reps in the bench (ouch), which is incredibly surprising given his shorter arm length. I'm keeping him here for the time being - his film just didn't match up with his combine showing to me. His versatility and day-1 readiness should keep his stock relatively stable, and it would be a great investment for the offense's future and help get an extra squeeze out of Adrian Peterson's twilight seasons (if they do in fact exist... what a freak). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369635-3B3E4CTCP7VHWSRDNH78/403.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #24 WR Josh Docston, TCU A lot of this pick depends on whether or not Cincinatti is able to retain free agents Marvin Jones and/or Mohamed Sanu, though it sounds like they have little interest in keeping the latter. Jones is an interesting study - he's been relatively productive when paired across from stud AJ Green, but I wonder if he's worth more to them than what others might pay on the open market. After a great sophomore campaign in which he hauled in 10 touchdowns and broke the franchise record with 4 in a single game, injuries then completely derailed his 2014 season. He came back strong last season with a career high 65 snags, so we'll see which direction management goes. After a strong showing at the combine, I don't think Bengals fans would miss Jones very long in acquiring the services of Josh Docston. Off the bat, there's one thing very obvious: AJ and Docston could turn into a defensive coordinator's worst nightmare. Docston does a lot of things well, and one of them in particular is catching touchdowns - he tracks and high-points a football as well as any WR in this class, and has an excellent combination of leaping ability and soft hands. You won't see him trapping a ball into his chest too often - confidence in his hands is definitely something he does not lack. Before a season ending wrist injury, Docston was lighting the world on fire game after game, stringing together 6 consecutive contests of at least 125 yards and 2 TDs. His catch radius is a thing of beauty, and he'll go up and get pretty much anything thrown in his zip code. If the Bengals elect to go wideout here, they have some options. Corey Coleman is electric, Will Fuller's got the lethal speed, and Michael Thomas would give them a pretty formidable twin tower duo. I think Docston is the best fit - an accurate NFL passer will only elevate his game even more, and his hands really set him apart from the receivers mentioned above. If Cincy can reestablish a more consistent run game a la 2014, this offense could potentially take a huge step forward with Green, Eifert, and Docston on the field.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835370086-NWIHXBZWOXWM021W13CJ/uj6np8mdxk9be07trzcea485x.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #25 CB William Jackson III, Houston Predicting what Pittsburgh will do in the draft is a bit like predicting the weather. You may have a general idea, and even have historical data to back you up... and then out of nowhere it's snowing and you packed nothing but a bathing suit and flip flops. This year is no different - Beachum will reportedly go unsigned prior to free agency, Heath just retired, the secondary is in shambles, Leveon can't stay on the field, no competent backup quarterback in sight, the salary cap is quivering... there's even going to be a difficult decision with their kickers. Hunter Henry is tempting, but his 'meh' combine coupled with the flashes from Jesse James shouldn't make this an urgency. OLB, guard, Safety... throw a dart. So that's what I'll do: throwing out the logic, going against history and thinking outside the box, Pittsburgh selects its first cornerback in round 1 since the 1997 selection of Chad Scott. There's a ton to like about Jackson and for any Steelers fans reading, I encourage you to head over to Draft Breakdown and YouTube to check him out before reaching your verdict. For starters, he's an aggressive tackler (needs to do a better job of wrapping up though), and times himself extremely well when the balls coming to a guy in front of him. He's not quick but he's got speed and great recovery. He can stay with virtually anyone on intermediate to long routes, and closes in rapidly on blitz attempts. I think what stands out the most to me is his combination of instinct and reaction - when the pass is coming his way, Jackson has a very impressive move back to the ball and his long arms are consistently putting a hand on it. What also stands out to me are some of his flaws - at this stage, he's a little unsteady against savvy route runners and given his size, a little stiff. I anticipate Steelers fans would rather take a shot and wait for him in the second, but I have doubts he'll be there. But what makes him tempting in the late first is that a lot of what may keep him out of it can be fixed. What I'd like to see: add just a few more pounds to his frame, work on his tackling technique, and install a new element to his game: jamming at the line. He's not going to be a guy who can cover the shifty slot WRs - I think that's a given coming in. But work on those things, and you've got yourself a specialized chess piece to specifically frustrate AJ Green, Breshad Perriman, and Josh Gordon 6 times a year... always a good thing to be keeping those guys in check (I guess we'll wait and see about Perriman). That said, if a safer pick in Hunter Henry or Darian Thompson is made, I'm not sure Steelers Nation will shed many tears. But Jackson flashed some serious speed and aleticism at the combine in the 40 and passing drills and right now, his assets and upside trump his weaknesses - he'll get a look here. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835370054-N99E1DYOTIJI4CZ78VXY/pfiobtreaq7j0pzvadktsc6jv.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #26 DT Jarran Reed, Alabama The 2016 Draft - the defensive gift that keeps on giving. Reed's another guy who might have gone top 15 last year, and yet still could reasonably go top 15 this year too - that's how good the defensive prospects are. We talked a bit about Billings... Reed is of a similar skillset - a run squashing vacuum that completely shuts down the part of the field he stands on. He's got ENORMOUS hands (10 1/2 inches - that'll be hard pressed to be beaten at the combine) that he uses to control his point of attack and steer into the incoming run. If Billings is a colliding planet, Reed is a black hole (how bout these astronomy analogies?!) - he just eats up the run like it's a chinese buffet and comes back for seconds and thirds. And as contradictory as this may sound, I think his potential floor is higher than Billings. Since Alabama is pretty much always televised, I got a good glimpse of these guys this year. In fact, of the 3 premier Alabama defensive guys in Reed, Robinson, and Ragland, I actually believe Reed has the highest floor of them, too. He's extremely good at what he does, and that is destroy the run game. What keeps me from putting him higher (and what could have him potentially falling lower) is his liability in all other facets of the game. Unlike Billings, Reed isn't nearly as disruptive, and between the attention needed to keep tabs on the guys listed above PLUS Jonathan Allen, it's a bit surprising/disappointing not to see a few more sacks next to his name (2 sacks in two years...). That's why I'm slotting him to Seattle, a team that consistently develops the maximum talent potential they can in their guys, notably on defense. Besides, in a division with potential rising stars Todd Gurley, Carlos Hyde, and David Johnson, a guy like Reed is a necessity. It's a great landing spot for him, and Pete Carroll would certainly utilize him to the fullest. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835743776-NPPU73YOILRF624TH7T2/dcy03myfhffbki5d7il3.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #27 LB Darron Lee, Ohio State Let's finally make a solid attempt to put this position to bed for a team that just has not been able to resolve this conundrum. If one of the OT's fall here, so be it - I'd like that to be the pick personally. Given the marketplace at pick #27, I think Thompson is put in a position to draft upside and work with some of the kinks that come with this particular pick. To address some other needs: broken record I know, but I don't see them going WR here - they'll continue to work with Montgomery, Janis, Adams, and Abbrederis, and if need be there's still plenty of upside in the later rounds. Tight end.. meh - there are decent FA's and maybe Austin Hooper comes into play later. We'll just get this out of the way first: Lee's athletically gifted and that was on full display at the combine with his LB leading 40 time. That's not in question... with some good coaching, he'll be a breath of fresh air for the Packers in coverage. He's got good length and his instincts, though not quite there, will improve with time. The main thing that concerns me, and I think many Packers fans will agree, is his 'presence.' At the NFL level, if I'm an opposing OC, I'm not going to be afraid to try to funnel the run his way... he just doesn't seem to have the desire to 'stick it' to anybody and at times it looks like he even opts to avoid it all together. And I get that - he's still learning the position (he was a former QB, after all). I think fans will be pleased with this pick, but wary... We'll see how the draft plays out - if for some reason one of the other ILB prospects slides (and it happens every year...), Jack or Ragland would obviously send Thompson sprinting. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369855-PVE0UY21USJJAFZ22UK0/857.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #28 DT Sheldon Rankins, Louisville Ideally, Kansas City is able to reel back in some of its talent set to go in free agency. Realistically, they'll still need a guy who can fill the middle of the line and prepare for Poe's potential departure next year. They're in a similar position to the Packers in that some OL help would be ideal if one were to fall, the top LB's are off the board, and WR isn't as glaring as KC fans would probably like to think. Beckham Jr. has gotten everyone's thinking so spoiled when it comes to first year WR production - Wilson showed he can get open and Conley is coming along just fine. It's a smart play for the Chiefs who need to not let their foot off the gas from their absolute gem of a pick in Peters last year. They've come a long way from 2013, and have finished top-10 in total yards allowed per game in back to back years. Rankins is a solid investment to keep them in that elite territory - after a great season with the Cardinals, he made headlines early on at the Senior Bowl which has been pushing his stock upwards. He's one of the more elusive prospects at the position, and his quick feet can get him around and into the backfield in a hurry. I personally have become a huge fan of his attack angles... he maintains this awesome almost 45 degree angle when he beats his guy and swings back into the runner or passer, followed by his long arms reaching out and swallowing up his victim. The one thing lacking on film is a. a lack of a full arsenal of 'moves,' and b. an 'ideal' size (stands about 6'1 300 lbs). That said, he's very rarely overpowered, and he uses that quickness to break around. He does get locked up from time to time, but he'll be a good understudy for some of the guys who already deal with that at an elite level. I think what sets him apart is that when he gets a good matchup, he can single handedly change the game. Helping him evolve a skillset for more challenging matchups at the next level will be the next step, and I expect him to adapt rather quickly. Solid play here by the Chiefs. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369920-LO7ZI90XBAMN3VWI5P7T/cards.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #29 CB Eli Apple, Ohio State Right about here is the appropriate value for Apple... a little too raw for the front half of the draft, but too much upside to fall into the second. Kevin Dodd and Shaq Lawson were a couple others I considered here, but I think Arians elects to bolster their secondary with a speedy, long cornerback that doesn't necessarily have to be "the guy" to start out his career. Thompson and Cravens might be on the radar as well. The CB market is incredibly tough to value. Compared to last year, there seem to be many more Trae Waynes types than there are Marcus Peters. Mackensie Alexander seems to have the tools to be a shutdown corner and is a character guy, and they'll almost certainly give some consideration to William Jackson. But Apple brings a bit more to the table - great range and can stick with his man. His main shortcoming on film is when he gets fooled or doesn't immediately glue his guy he can get a little 'handsy,' and flags will be flying if he doesn't learn to be a little more patient. All things considered, I'm willing to let that slide for a 20 year old red shirt sophomore. If I'm a Cardinals fan, though I'm not disappointed by any means, I'm thinking pass rusher of some sort is the more ideal move. Understandable. But the Cardinals are in a bit more of a unique position to take Apple here - a team like the Steelers is looking to build their secondary and I think banking on some combination of Apple, 'rookie' Golson, and some combination of incumbents and free agents is risky. The Cardinals on the other hand have pieces in place, and will hopefully be able to maintain a couple free agents. Being able to groom Apple with a bit more patience instead of throwing him into the fire day one makes this a solid fit and will help stabilize whatever they lose coming off of a top-10 season of passing defense.   https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455835369965-ZTS3H2RMNVYHYEUMML9P/f1wggq2k8ql88fe33jzhw641u.gif 2016 MD (21-31) - #30 DE Shaq Lawson, Clemson Another draft day slider finds a home in Carolina that could very well wind up being the steal of the round. The word that comes to mind when watching Lawson is 'bully' - he's so aggressive and imposing, and has an extremely powerful build. He moves decently though not quick by any means, and has an all around well-rounded skillset to be able to put on immense pressure while also neutralizing the run. I'll be curious to see his combine to see exactly how limited he is in the speed department, but the numbers speak for themselves: 12.5 sacks last year, and an FBS leading 24 and a half tackles for a loss. Good GAWD. Carolina's defense was stout, and Lawson could make them even scarier. He was hurt to close, so we didn't get to see him against the best of the best at full strength... there was a chance he wouldn't even play against Alabama in the championship. Didn't seem to matter - Lawson still made his presence felt with 2 sacks. Clemson had an otherworldy defense this year which makes it hard to gauge Lawson's true impact, and counterpart Kevin Dodd will likely be right behind him in the draft (if not in front of him...). Should Lawson make it to Carolina at #30, I expect Panthers fans will wipe the tears off their face from February and start getting amped up for another year of elite defense. They'll be able to get after opponents even more with a healthy Kelvin Benjamin on his way back to bolster the other side of the ball. And in the pointless trivia department, it will etch in stone the likely untouchable world record for drafting back to back Shaqs in the first round. *dabs, drops the mic* http://www.millyville.com/mock-draft-31 daily 0.75 2016-02-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455836043615-XENBE0OUXVF7M91ZE5SZ/9ebzja2zfeigaziee8y605aqp.gif Mock Draft (31) - #31 OT Jason Spriggs, Indiana What a weird offseason this could turn into for the Broncos... major decision coming up for Von Miller, potentially losing two guys on the O-line, oh and has anyone heard about the quarterback situation? Me too. For a guy who went 5-2 down the critical stretch of the season as the starter, it sure seems Brock Osweiler really let a golden opportunity slip away. His current situation: in flux, completely TBD. Left on the table: not being able to put his time in the spotlight into a chokehold and forcing a Joe Flacco conundrum for the Broncos. We'll see how it plays out, but it won't be pretty. No matter who's under center for the 2016 season, they'll need to fortify the trenches a bit. Manning and Osweiler were sacked a combined 39 times, and with OL's Mathis and Harris almost certainly walking in free agency, it stands to be said that that number could rise. Their pairing of draftees and FA signings will be imperative to ensure there isn't a major setback with the Chiefs and Raiders (yea I said it) in hot pursuit in the AFC West. If there will be a smooth transition from their Super Bowl year, the offensive line absolutely must become a priority. If there's any damning statistic to encourage this, it's their 78 takeway points from their defense being drowned out by their whopping 100 points from giveaways (a net -22). Comparatively, in-division rival Kansas City capitalized on 119 takeaway points to 43 giveway (net +76). TL;DR: no time to panic now - get this offense back to clicking. Standing at 6'6 300+ lbs, Spriggs might have solidified himself as a 1st round talent after a positive Senior bowl showing and some top combine numbers. On the year, he only allowed 13 pressures and 2 sacks on almost 1,000 snaps against some elite competition - pretty damn good value. There's one point of contention for Spriggs scouts have raised that I have to agree with when watching him: his "play strength." He's definitely good at mirroring athletes because, frankly, he is one. But he definitely has moments where he struggles against the more imposing, physical rushers, and can be seen getting bossed around. The combine showed just how good he is on paper, but it just doesn't always seem to come through on the field - the Broncos will have to work with him on that and help scheme to accommodate it. But from a value perspective picking last in the first round, Spriggs is an ideal candidate to get a struggling Denver offense back on its feet and competing. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1455836043615-XENBE0OUXVF7M91ZE5SZ/9ebzja2zfeigaziee8y605aqp.gif Mock Draft (31) - #31 OT Jason Spriggs, Indiana What a weird offseason this could turn into for the Broncos... major decision coming up for Von Miller, potentially losing two guys on the O-line, oh and has anyone heard about the quarterback situation? Me too. For a guy who went 5-2 down the critical stretch of the season as the starter, it sure seems Brock Osweiler really let a golden opportunity slip away. His current situation: in flux, completely TBD. Left on the table: not being able to put his time in the spotlight into a chokehold and forcing a Joe Flacco conundrum for the Broncos. We'll see how it plays out, but it won't be pretty. No matter who's under center for the 2016 season, they'll need to fortify the trenches a bit. Manning and Osweiler were sacked a combined 39 times, and with OL's Mathis and Harris almost certainly walking in free agency, it stands to be said that that number could rise. Their pairing of draftees and FA signings will be imperative to ensure there isn't a major setback with the Chiefs and Raiders (yea I said it) in hot pursuit in the AFC West. If there will be a smooth transition from their Super Bowl year, the offensive line absolutely must become a priority. If there's any damning statistic to encourage this, it's their 78 takeway points from their defense being drowned out by their whopping 100 points from giveaways (a net -22). Comparatively, in-division rival Kansas City capitalized on 119 takeaway points to 43 giveway (net +76). TL;DR: no time to panic now - get this offense back to clicking. Standing at 6'6 300+ lbs, Spriggs might have solidified himself as a 1st round talent after a positive Senior bowl showing and some top combine numbers. On the year, he only allowed 13 pressures and 2 sacks on almost 1,000 snaps against some elite competition - pretty damn good value. There's one point of contention for Spriggs scouts have raised that I have to agree with when watching him: his "play strength." He's definitely good at mirroring athletes because, frankly, he is one. But he definitely has moments where he struggles against the more imposing, physical rushers, and can be seen getting bossed around. The combine showed just how good he is on paper, but it just doesn't always seem to come through on the field - the Broncos will have to work with him on that and help scheme to accommodate it. But from a value perspective picking last in the first round, Spriggs is an ideal candidate to get a struggling Denver offense back on its feet and competing. http://www.millyville.com/portfolio-1 daily 0.75 2016-06-15 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465944278525-6GKH9DFTI1UTQKSTE4BZ/Resume.png Portfolio - My Resume https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465944278525-6GKH9DFTI1UTQKSTE4BZ/Resume.png Portfolio - My Resume https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465947317264-7CT5BY35SBP9SSRGTRIT/Freelance.png Portfolio - Freelance Article https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465944385377-IS8HVFMF5G4SMX6O7FJZ/PRA+Article+-+Internal.png Portfolio - Internal Article https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1464704013367-5GHFV6129TAHH5G9ZQS7/Resume.JPG Portfolio https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465944406051-A0XDHPDRFO5S5DHSOX3M/SDLC+Documentation.png Portfolio - Validation Report (Regulatory Documentation) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1464704499940-P4KGR1BZOU3BWW9R46ER/Resume.JPG Portfolio https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465947570992-G40TP5MFMUS4Y6RSAYDY/Announcement.png Portfolio - Internal Communication https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465945556924-744M6XYPPAWWPLF7TLHA/Blog+Post.png Portfolio - Blog Post (Internal) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465947054011-STDVRIWAAHNOI4EX82Y2/Blog+Post+-+Personal.png Portfolio - Blog Post (Millyville) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1464704511752-4NO9RU4Q4IGBOU5HQRII/Resume.JPG Portfolio - My Resume https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1464703482754-ZZZK5SV3UD95A2QLJDXE/Office+2010+Blog.JPG Portfolio - Company Blog Post Sample http://www.millyville.com/holler daily 0.75 2015-01-26 http://www.millyville.com/home daily 1.0 2016-07-09 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1468086042760-AZJII47ESF13X16T8DZE/image-asset.jpeg Millyville https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1468084900115-U7IP6IIRN8V46BR3FH3Q/image-asset.jpeg Millyville https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1422228993909-RSO6KGXR0AEHJ2R17VY6/MillyvilleSign8.png Millyville http://www.millyville.com/mock-draft-11-20 daily 0.75 2016-02-17 http://www.millyville.com/mock-draft-21-31 daily 0.75 2016-02-18 http://www.millyville.com/test-portfolio daily 0.75 2016-06-01 http://www.millyville.com/portfolio daily 0.75 2016-06-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998512457-AOWGQCJ5YKGEXO6210FA/image-asset.png Portfolio ---------CORPORATE ARTICLE----------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998275852-U1CSMYUQYDKXUU3XPHBH/image-asset.png Portfolio ---------MILLYVILLE BLOG POST--------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998201203-AH9LCCN38XOLLN7MZM56/image-asset.png Portfolio -----CORPORATE COMMUNICATION---- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998258342-JZTMX62A3ZNGIJ7WB2QE/image-asset.png Portfolio --------CORPORATE BLOG POST--------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998556723-D1LL3861XBJ7NAWXAZXQ/image-asset.png Portfolio --------REGULATORY DOCUMENT------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998336728-4MQXAAGY7OFT61XYIRR4/image-asset.png Portfolio ----------FREELANCE ARTICLE----------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1465998600227-ND0P9I9DU6T8DCIF5DNB/image-asset.png Portfolio -------------------RESUME------------------- https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1466367787976-W0GKR0MVVYOLLJFRNP8P/image-asset.png Portfolio Write here... https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5463c928e4b0b870cde79a5c/1466367143871-JEL2L7WHOGBCLF4FGK0H/IMG_1793.jpg Portfolio